CASE STUDY

The SR100M Lowest Bidder Trap

How a government agency lost 50% of project value by choosing the cheapest contractor—and how financial analysis could have prevented it

6 min read
Government Project

The Vision: Modernizing City Infrastructure

AMBITIOUS PROJECT

A government agency launches an ambitious SR200M transportation hub project to modernize city infrastructure and boost economic development. Five major contractors compete for the prestigious contract.

SR200M
Project Value
5
Major Bidders
36
Month Timeline

The Fatal Choice: Lowest Bidder Wins

COST FOCUSED

Company A wins with the lowest bid, beating Company B by just 8%. The decision seems fiscally responsible —save taxpayer money and deliver infrastructure on budget.

The Red Flags (Overlooked)

Financial Metric Company ACompany B Benchmark
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 3:1 0.5:1 ≤1:1
Cash Flow from Operations -SR10M +SR5M Positive
Current Ratio 0.8 2.0 ≥1.5
Net Profit Margin -6% +12% ≥5%

The Collapse: Project Stops Mid-Construction

CRITICAL FAILURE

Within six months, Company A's financial instability becomes catastrophic. Construction halts mid-project, labor strikes emerge, and the agency is forced to re-tender the entire project.

The Devastating Impact

+40%
Total Cost Increase
SR80M in overruns
2+
Years of Delays
Legal disputes
SR300M
Final Project Cost
50% over budget

Additional Consequences

Damaged stakeholder confidence

Political fallout and investigations

Economic development delays

Public trust erosion

The Prevention: Financial Analytics in Procurement

SOLUTION

Modern procurement requires automated risk scoring and real-time financial analysis. Company A's distress signals were clear in the data—if anyone had looked.

What the Data Revealed

Overleveraged Structure

3:1 debt ratio vs. 0.5:1 benchmark

Liquidity Crisis

0.8 current ratio, 0.5 quick ratio

Negative Cash Flow

-SR10M from operations

Payment Delays

120-day payables vs. 60-day norm

Key Takeaways: The True Cost of "Cheap"

Financial Health Matters

Low bids often hide distressed companies

Automated Screening Works

Technology can flag risk in real-time

Data Reveals Truth

Metrics expose risk before contracts are signed

Upfront Investment Saves Millions

Proper evaluation prevents catastrophic failures

"In procurement, the lowest price often comes at the highest cost."

Don't Let This Happen to Your Project

Smart procurement starts with financial due diligence. Protect taxpayer money and project success with data-driven decisions.

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